With the increased popularity of betting touchdown props, it’s a little harder these days for bettors to find value in the NFL odds market. However, because of price discrepancies across books, having multiple outs is the best way to be profitable with player props.
Each week I’ll find my three best touchdown props for the Sunday slate. They might not be high-win probable plays, but if they aren’t, they’ll certainly be +EV. I’m up 16.55 units over three weeks and have swept the board in back-to-back weeks.
When it comes to Week 4 odds, we’re going all in on short-yardage scores. In my latest NFL picks, I’m going back to a winner from last week in a projected shootout, hitting a low-volume runner who will get the short yards in London, and hoping the Saints get creative inside the 20.