The countdown to Christmas is coming at you like a runaway Polar Express, which means the pressure is on to wrap up your holiday gift giving wish lists.
The big debate facing yuletide shoppers is the same sticky scenario troubling NFL bettors this time of year: quantity versus quality.
Do you buy a bunch of cheaper gifts or a few really nice ones? Do you grab the pile of points with crap teams or look for NFL point spread picks on competitive clubs as short underdogs?
If the past two weeks are any evidence, short NFL underdog picks are the gift that keeps on giving. And big pups, well… enjoy your off-brand smart watch. I’m sure it’ll work fine.
Underdogs of six points or more are just 2-9 ATS, with double-digit dogs going 0-3 ATS, the past two weeks of NFL betting. All other dogs (+5.5 or shorter) are a collective 12-6 ATS.
The narrative makes sense: big underdogs are typically bad teams or teams with little to play for while the shorter dogs are likely stronger sides still in the postseason hunt or at least keeping things competitive.
The Week 14 NFL underdogs should help reinforce this theory with a wide array of spread sizes on the board. There are currently six teams catching six or more points and two double-digit dogs. Here are my favorite picks and predictions getting the points.
