With the increased popularity of betting touchdown props, it’s a little harder these days for bettors to find value in the NFL odds market. However, because of price discrepancies across books, having multiple outs is the best way to be profitable with player props. 

Each week I’ll find my three best touchdown props for the Sunday slate. They might not be high-win probable plays, but if they aren’t, they’ll certainly be +EV. I’m up 16.55 units over three weeks and have swept the board in back-to-back weeks. 

When it comes to Week 4 odds, we’re going all in on short-yardage scores. In my latest NFL picks, I’m going back to a winner from last week in a projected shootout, hitting a low-volume runner who will get the …

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) are fresh off of the wrong end of an upset in front of the nation’s and Taylor Swift’s eyes, dropping to the once-upon-a-time 2-5 Green Bay Packers. Mahomes managed to complete just 21 of 33 passes (63.6%) for a measly 210 yards, managing only one touchdown to match his interception.

In Week 14 odds they return home to host the Buffalo Bills (6-6), who find themselves surprisingly desperate for a win this week after dropping three of their last four and four of their last six.

Can Mahomes get things back on track and take advantage of a hobbled Bills defense? Or will the Bills give Mahomes and company another hard week to fight through?

Continue reading for free Patrick Mahomes odds and NFL picks and pred…

Have you ever checked out a sportsbook’s NFL betting lines and noticed something like this?

You may have wondered why these lines are displayed with such odd juice discrepancies instead of a more evenly-priced option like Team B +7.5 (-110) / Team A -7.5 (-110), which you can typically find tucked within a dropdown menu. It might make sense to see prices like the above for key numbers like three and seven, but you’ll often see it on non-key numbers a few times across a slate.

The r…

No sooner had the Cyprus manager Temuri Ketsbaia declared Scotland have already qualified for next summer’s European Championship than Steve Clarke comprehensively dismissed the notion. “Football can bite you on the bum,” said the Scotland manager.

Victory for Clarke’s men over Cyprus on Friday would make it five wins from as many matches in Group A. In that circumstance, Scotland could seal a finals berth as early as Tuesday if other results go their way. Ketsbaia insisted the Scots are already bound for Germany. “I believe they have already qualified,” said the former Newcastle United midfielder. “I am not surprised they are at the top of the group. I am sure they will finish first or second.”

‘A real togetherness’: …

Guardian writers’ predicted position: 5th (NB: this is not necessarily Paul Doyle’s prediction but the average of our writers’ tips)

Last season’s position: 5th

Odds to win the league (via Oddschecker): 50-1

The plan

The end may be the best place to start. Leicester will conclude their campaign against Spurs, Everton, Watford and Southampton.

That looks a relatively benign run-in after two successive seasons in which Brendan Rodgers’ side dropped out of the Champions League places by losing three of their last four league matches.

Premier League 2021-22 preview No 9: LeedsRead more

Then ag…

Barcelona s bid for a third successive LaLiga title and 27th overall will begin and end away from Camp Nou.

Ernesto Valverde s men are set to visit Athletic Bilbao in their opening fixture of the new season on August 18, whil they will conclude the campaign on the road to Deportivo Alaves on May 24.

Barca beat rivals Real Madrid twice last term and will hope to continue their Clasico dominance in 2019-20. Camp Nou plays host to the first encounter on October 27, with the return match scheduled for March 1.

Delivering domestically is certain to again be a priority for head coach Valverde and captain Lionel Messi but the club s increasingly impatient need to claim another Champions League crown will serve as a major subplot throughout the course of the season.

It was an interesting week in international football. World Cup qualifiers all over the world meant so much to so many and for some it was exhilaration, for some it was agony.

The week started with the possibility of France, Portugal and Argentina all in danger of missing out on South Africa 2010. The South Americans have scraped through and the two European sides now face the play-offs.

Big countries missing out

The interesting thing for me is the big countries who won t be at next year s World Cup. The biggest surprise for me has been England s opponents in group six Croatia.

Croatia struggle in qualification

In recent years the Croat s have proved difficult opponents for everybody they have played. They have good technical ability and seemed t…

It s over. The European Championship, officially labelled as Euro 2020 due to the reason most obvious, came to its end on Sunday evening as Italy took the trophy and the crown of the continent from England, back to Rome. The prophecy the Azzurri fans had come up with in response to England s It s coming home It s coming to Rome has been proven true.

It was a rather exciting tournament, with plenty of good football and a few surprises along the way, two ingredients necessary to make an exciting international tournament. Mind, not everything went exactly as planned and not all we saw was positive. Let s take it from the start.

Christian Eriksen

Italy had comprehensively beaten Turkey in the tournament opener and Wales had just drawn with Switzerland, when the fateful cla…

Phil Foden could miss the opening month of Manchester City s Premier League title defence with the foot injury that ruled him out of the Euro 2020 final and left him in tears.

England playmaker Foden was laid low during the build-up to the Wembley showdown with Italy, having impressed in an extra-time cameo against Denmark in the semi-finals.

Roberto Mancini s Azzurri prevailed on penalties as the 21-year-old was restricted to a watching brief and, with City beginning their top-flight campaign at Tottenham on Sunday, he will be out of action once more.

Back-to-back home games against newly promoted Norwich City and Arsenal will also come too soon, with a September 11 trip to Leicester City after the international break or the following weekend s game against Sout…

Remi Garde wants his Lyon side to use their 2012 Coupe de la Ligue final defeat as motivation for Saturday s clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

Lyon were beaten 1-0 by Marseille two years ago and Garde s side will look to make amends in Saturday s final at the Stade de France.

While PSG are 25 points ahead of Lyon in Ligue 1, Garde feels his side have the motivation to pull off an upset.

I hope to see a different Lyon to the team that played the 2012 final against Marseille, which left a bitter taste in the mouths, he said on Friday.

We had the impression we didn t really compete that day. I ve undoubtedly modified things in the approach and the aim is to win the final and ensure we have fewer regrets than in 2012.

PSG are on course to retain the Ligue 1 titl…